Why the Kansas City Chiefs Will Beat the Buffalo Bills In the Playoffs – Again

The NFL playoffs are in full swing, and probably the most anticipated matchups options the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs dealing with off towards the Buffalo Payments within the remaining recreation of the Divisional Spherical. A rivalry that dates again to the 90s is renewed in Buffalo, and the Payments are available as 2.5-point favorites. Each groups have had spectacular seasons, with many ups and downs, however on this evaluation, we’ll delve into why the Chiefs are poised to come back out on high on this crucial playoff showdown.

Crew Breakdown:

This Chiefs protection is nice. Like actually good. Like win the tremendous bowl good.

  • Opp Factors/Sport: 16.7 (#2)
  • Opp Yards/Sport: 288.3 (#2)
  • Opp Factors/Play: 0.273 (#2)
  • Opp Yards/Play: 4.7 (#4)
  • Opp 3D Conv %: 35.59% (#5)
  • Opp 4D Conv %: 47.06% (#10)
  • Opp RZ Scoring % (TD): 50.00% (#8)
  • Opp TDs/Sport: 1.8 (#2)

And at this level, they’re the most effective unit on the sector in any recreation the Chiefs play. To win this recreation, or any recreation this 12 months, they should rating 24. And the Chiefs have accomplished that towards the Payments the 2 occasions these groups have matched up within the playoffs within the Mahomes-Allen period. I count on to see the identical at this time. The Chiefs have been constantly glorious at limiting their opponents’ factors and yards, which is essential in high-stakes playoff video games.

Studying from Previous Errors

It’s important to acknowledge that the Chiefs confronted the Payments earlier within the season and suffered a loss. Nevertheless, it’s essential to research why that loss occurred and why the Chiefs are higher ready this time round. In that recreation, turnovers, penalties, and the absence of key gamers like Isiah Pacheco performed a major position within the consequence.

Now, with the return of Pacheco and the Chiefs’ offense performing higher, they’re higher geared up to face the Payments. Studying from previous errors and making vital changes is a trademark of a championship-caliber staff.

Matchup Evaluation

The Chiefs’ defensive position, led by Chris Jones and George Karlaftis, has the flexibility to disrupt Josh Allen’s rhythm, retaining him uncomfortable within the pocket. L’Jarius Sneed will lock down Stefon Diggs once more and make the Payments beat them with brief features. Moreover, the return of Isiah Pacheco provides one other dimension to the Chiefs’ offense. Pacheco has been a difference-maker when wholesome, and his presence will likely be essential in exploiting the Payments’ protection.

Travis Kelce and Rashee Rice are additionally anticipated to shine, and Mahomes, in his first highway playoff recreation, will likely be extremely motivated to show his detractors unsuitable. The Chiefs’ offense has the potential to use the Payments’ banged-up protection and create favorable matchups. Additionally the Chiefs’ O-line actually dealt with themselves nicely towards the Dolphins, who additionally had a depleted protection, and the Chiefs will be capable to run the ball all around the Payments within the second half.

Line Motion (as of 12:30 pm CT)

That is about as even of a cut up you’re going to get in a playoff recreation, and the road continues to be inching towards the Chiefs. I’m considering seeing how the road strikes as soon as the damage information is remaining, however I might solely make small choices based mostly on these numbers. If something, I’m leaning towards the Chiefs based mostly on sharp cash and the road shifting towards the Chiefs with the cash nonetheless on the Payments.

Choose:

The Chiefs’ protection is the most effective unit on this discipline and can present out once more. If the Chiefs attain 24, they win and can do it at this time in Buffalo. They’ve confronted this Payments protection so many occasions prior to now 5 years and all the time appear to deal with them higher within the second matchup of the 12 months. It has occurred earlier than and can proceed at this time. Its Peyton towards Brady – and one of many QBs has a couple of extra Lombardi’s than the opposite for a cause. One staff gained the massive recreation constantly, and the opposite didn’t. The Chiefs get the higher of Allen, pressure a well timed turnover, they usually guide their journey to a different AFC Championship.

Chiefs +2.5 & Chiefs ML (+125)

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